Recently, there have been some notable divergences in the field of U.S. financial policy. There are significant differences between senior officials at the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve policymakers regarding the timing and magnitude of interest rate cuts. The Treasury is inclined to implement a substantial rate cut in September, while the Federal Reserve appears to be more cautious.

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell emphasized that a cautious approach should be maintained until inflation data meets the expected targets. Meanwhile, Vice Chairman Barr, responsible for financial regulation, supports a gradual monetary easing policy, asserting that the initial rate cut should not exceed 25 basis points. This rare divergence of opinions within the decision-making body undoubtedly brings more uncertainty to the market.

The differences in policy expectations may have a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market. Historical data shows that when the Federal Reserve releases differences in policy expectations, the crypto market often experiences substantial volatility. Specifically, the 30-day volatility increases on average by 58%, institutional investors generally reduce leverage by more than 35%, and the volatility of exchange stablecoin reserves also exceeds normal levels by twice.

In the face of potential market fluctuations, investors can adopt the following strategies:

1. For spot holders, it is recommended to pay attention to the key support zone of $60,000-$62,000, and consider extending the holding period to cope with potential volatility cycles.

2. Derivatives traders should carefully control risks and it is recommended to keep the leverage of perpetual contracts within 3 times, while closely monitoring the reversal signals of funding rates.

3. Users who adopt a dollar-cost averaging strategy can maintain a set investment rhythm, but it is also recommended to reserve about 15% liquidity in order to seize opportunities when the market presents mispricings.

Overall, in the current complex financial environment, investors need to stay vigilant, closely monitor policy trends, and adjust their investment strategies in a timely manner according to market changes. At the same time, maintaining rationality and a long-term perspective is also an important principle for dealing with market fluctuations.